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Ah, the mind-numbing parade of maybes: what if Barack Obama wins both North Carolina and Indiana? What if Hillary Clinton wins them both? What if, as expected, they split the difference with Obama claiming the bigger prize (delegate wise) of North Carolina, but Hillary taking him down in Hoosier Land? As I write, we have about seven hours to wait for the official results, unless, of course, you want to prowl the web looking for “leaked” exit polling results (they’ll probably show Obama further up than he actually is; they always do for some reason). But there’s one thing we can know for certain right now: at the end of the evening, no titanic shift in the delegate count will have occurred. What will have happened, however, is that the number of delegates allocated to the two candidates will have grown by 187 and the number left to be selected will have shrunk by the same number. And this means, of course, that all of the inevitable excited chatter from the network talking heads notwithstanding, the only real significance to the outcome -- whichever scenario comes to pass -- will be that the mathematical impossibility of Hillary winning the nomination will have become that much more apparent.  The only way Hillary can win at this point is for the super delegates, acting in mass, to throw black voters under the bus, something that could mortally injure the party for a generation. They aren’t going to do it. It’s over.

This entry was posted by Steve on Tuesday, May 6th, 2008 at 10:00 am and is filed under Comment. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.